Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sweden · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 18 October 2026 at 02:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Sweden
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Sweden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PolandLWLDD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SwedenWDWWD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PolandSweden
58.3Attack58.3
66.7Defence75.0
33.3Form83.3
48.4Power75.3
1.13xG1.25