Friendlies
Thursday, 9 October 2025Updated today
P

Poland

Home
vs
N

New Zealand

Away
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Poland46%
Draw28%
New Zealand26%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Poland
46%
Draw
28%
New Zealand
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Poland46%
Draw28%
New Zealand26%

Poland leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Poland head into this in Friendlies fixture in unknown form, while New Zealand arrive in unknown form.

Poland have limited home data in the engine at this stage. New Zealand have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Poland and New Zealand in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Poland to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Poland 4590%, Draw 2830%, New Zealand 2580%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Poland vs New Zealand?

GoalVio's model predicts Poland to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Poland vs New Zealand?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Poland vs New Zealand?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Poland vs New Zealand?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more