Poland U19vs
Switzerland U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 9/25/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Poland U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Poland U19 0-1 Switzerland U19
Original prediction
Poland U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.0% | 45.4% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.1% | 25.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 34.9% | 29.1% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Poland U19
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Poland U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00