Poland U19vs
Kazakhstan U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/1/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Poland U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Poland U19 3-0 Kazakhstan U19
Original prediction
Poland U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.7% | 47.0% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.2% | 26.0% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 5.30 | 17.1% | 26.9% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Poland U19
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Poland U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00