Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gnistan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
POHU are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Gnistan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gnistan hold a 57.3-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Suomen Cup, while Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gnistan
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
7.2%
Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 20 · avg 1.40/4.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00