Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pohronie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pohronie 0-0 Malženice
Original prediction
Pohronie
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.4% | 60.5% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.7% | 20.5% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 24.9% | 19.0% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Pohronie
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Pohronie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PohronieWWLLW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MalženiceLDLWL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PohronieMalženice
58.3Attack44.4
55.6Defence41.7
61.1Form30.6
59.5Power40.9
2.33xG1.02