Pohang Steelersvs
Johor Darul Takzim FC
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Johor Darul Takzim FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pohang Steelers 0-2 Johor Darul Takzim FC
Original prediction
Johor Darul Takzim FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.19 | 29.1% | 32.9% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.5% | 27.2% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 44.5% | 39.9% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Johor Darul Takzim FC
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Johor Darul Takzim FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 21 · GA 4 · avg 4.20/0.80