Pohang Steelersvs
Jinju Citizen
SCHEDULEDSouth-Korea · FA Cup · 8/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jinju Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pohang Steelers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jinju Citizen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Jinju Citizen hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the FA Cup, while Jinju Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jinju Citizen
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
11.6%
Jinju Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40