Pohang Steelersvs
Jeju United FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 4/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pohang Steelers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Jeju United FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Jeju United FC hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the K League 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40