Pohang Steelersvs
Incheon United
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 3/15/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pohang Steelers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Incheon United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Incheon United hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the K League 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20