Pohang Steelersvs
FC Seoul
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Seoul · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pohang Steelers 0-1 FC Seoul, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pohang Steelers 2-1 FC Seoul
Original prediction
FC Seoul
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.34 | 21.4% | 14.5% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.5% | 25.6% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 51.0% | 59.9% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Projected Score
Pohang Steelers 0–1 FC Seoul
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
FC Seoul
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
FC Seoul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Pohang SteelersLDDLD
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC SeoulLWLWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pohang SteelersFC Seoul
29.9Attack63.2
62.1Defence73.6
42.5Form71.3
47.2Power69.0
0.47xG1.40