Pogon Szczecinvs
Wisla Plock
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/7/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogon Szczecin · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pogon Szczecin 1-1 Wisla Plock
Original prediction
Pogon Szczecin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 48.9% | 45.9% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 26.1% | 27.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 25.0% | 26.8% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Pogon Szczecin
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Pogon Szczecin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20