Pogon Szczecinvs
Wieczysta Kraków
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/13/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogon Szczecin · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Wieczysta Kraków
Original prediction
Pogon Szczecin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 45.5% | 49.3% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.3% | 26.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 28.2% | 24.7% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Pogon Szczecin
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Pogon Szczecin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40