Pogon Szczecinvs
Udinese
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 9/26/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogon Szczecin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pogon Szczecin 1-1 Udinese
Original prediction
Pogon Szczecin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 12:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.55 | 26.0% | 42.4% | 16.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.8% | 26.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 47.3% | 30.9% | -16.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Pogon Szczecin
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Pogon Szczecin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20