Pogon Szczecinvs
Radomiak Radom
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/24/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogon Szczecin · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Radomiak Radom, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pogon Szczecin 4-3 Radomiak Radom
Original prediction
Pogon Szczecin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 54.0% | 78.2% | 24.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 24.2% | 14.1% | -10.1 pts |
| Away | 4.23 | 21.8% | 7.7% | -14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
24.2 pts
Projected Score
Pogon Szczecin 2–0 Radomiak Radom
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Pogon Szczecin
Probability
78.2%
Model confidence
78.2%
Pogon Szczecin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60