Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczówvs
Podlasie Biała Podlaska
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 10/25/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Podlasie Biała Podlaska · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 0-0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2-0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Original prediction
Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.7% | 33.6% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.7% | 29.6% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 31.6% | 36.8% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Projected Score
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 0–0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Podlasie Biała Podlaska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20