Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczówvs
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KS Wieczysta Krakow II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1-1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Original prediction
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.2% | 33.5% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.4% | 28.5% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.4% | 37.9% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
KS Wieczysta Krakow II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00