GGOALVIO

Poland · Cup · 9/26/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Siedlce · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pogoń Siedlce are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Podbeskidzie are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Siedlce hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Cup, while Pogoń Siedlce holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Siedlce

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Pogoń Siedlce has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń SiedlceDLWDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PodbeskidzieDDDLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Pogoń SiedlcePodbeskidzie
100.0Attack66.7
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
97.0Power88.7
1.76xG1.40
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