GGOALVIO

Poland · Cup · 8/9/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Siedlce · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pogoń Siedlce are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Olimpia Elbląg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Siedlce hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Cup, while Pogoń Siedlce holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Siedlce

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Pogoń Siedlce has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń SiedlceDWDLW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Olimpia ElblągWLDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pogoń SiedlceOlimpia Elbląg
100.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
97.0Power23.7
2.19xG1.14
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