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Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 12:36
Pogoń Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce

Home
L
11
Full time
ŁKS Łódź

ŁKS Łódź

Away
L
Stadion ROSRRiT
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

ŁKS Łódź36%
Pogoń Siedlce35%
Draw29%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Pogoń Siedlce
35%
Draw
29%
ŁKS Łódź
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Pogoń Siedlce
34
ŁKS Łódź
9
Defence
Pogoń Siedlce
6
ŁKS Łódź
6
Momentum
Pogoń Siedlce
0
ŁKS Łódź
0
Danger (xG)
Pogoń Siedlce
0.90
ŁKS Łódź
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Pogoń Siedlce)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (ŁKS Łódź)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Pogoń Siedlce)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (ŁKS Łódź)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce
L
ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź
LD

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Pogoń Siedlce35%
Draw29%
ŁKS Łódź36%

ŁKS Łódź leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Pogoń Siedlce head into this in I Liga fixture at Stadion ROSRRiT in mixed form (L), while ŁKS Łódź arrive in mixed form (L). Pogoń Siedlce have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for ŁKS Łódź over 1 games.

The model rates Pogoń Siedlce's attack at 34/100 against a 6/100 ŁKS Łódź defence, and ŁKS Łódź's attack at 9/100 against a 6/100 Pogoń Siedlce backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Pogoń Siedlce have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. ŁKS Łódź have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Pogoń Siedlce and ŁKS Łódź in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Pogoń Siedlce to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Pogoń Siedlce 3522%, Draw 2893%, ŁKS Łódź 3585%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Pogoń Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce

L
vs Stal Mielec
15 May 2026
13
ŁKS Łódź

ŁKS Łódź

L
@ Wisla Plock
17 Jul 2026
03
D
@ Slask Wroclaw
11 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs ŁKS Łódź?

GoalVio's model predicts Pogoń Siedlce to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs ŁKS Łódź?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Pogoń Siedlce vs ŁKS Łódź?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pogoń Siedlce vs ŁKS Łódź?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more