GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/3/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lech Poznań II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lech Poznań II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lech Poznań II hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the III Liga - Group 2, while Lech Poznań II holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lech Poznań II

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Lech Poznań II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Nowe SkalmierzyceLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Lech Poznań IILLLDL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Pogoń Nowe SkalmierzyceLech Poznań II
46.1Attack63.7
53.9Defence53.9
47.1Form55.9
49.9Power58.0
1.34xG1.66
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