GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/23/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Wikielec are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (76.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

78.9%

Model confidence

78.9%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
WikielecWDDWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWikielec
100.0Attack36.3
68.6Defence54.9
74.5Form42.2
76.1Power45.3
2.72xG0.58
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