GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/23/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (76.1 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

78.0%

Model confidence

78.0%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiDWLWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Warta SieradzLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Sieradz
100.0Attack42.2
68.6Defence52.9
74.5Form43.1
76.1Power47.4
2.83xG0.68
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