GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/25/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 5.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Swit are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (76.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

77.7%

Model confidence

77.7%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWWDWL

GF 27 · GA 7 · avg 5.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SwitLWWWL

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiSwit
100.0Attack0.0
68.6Defence100.0
74.5Form33.3
76.1Power45.3
2.98xG0.78
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