GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/11/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pilica Białobrzegi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 52.1-point power-rating edge (76.1 v 24.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 93.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

93.6%

Model confidence

93.6%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiDWWWL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Pilica BiałobrzegiLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPilica Białobrzegi
100.0Attack29.4
68.6Defence12.7
74.5Form18.6
76.1Power24.0
4.50xG0.45
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