GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/4/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pelikan Łowicz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (76.1 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

66.7%

Model confidence

66.7%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiLWDWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pelikan ŁowiczLDLDW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPelikan Łowicz
100.0Attack51.0
68.6Defence60.8
74.5Form51.0
76.1Power53.7
2.31xG0.83
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