GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/28/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 32.4-point power-rating edge (76.1 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

81.6%

Model confidence

81.6%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWWLDD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mławianka MławaLDLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiMławianka Mława
100.0Attack39.2
68.6Defence50.0
74.5Form38.2
76.1Power43.7
3.04xG0.62
View match centre →