GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/2/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Legionovia Legionowo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 42.0-point power-rating edge (76.1 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

90.8%

Model confidence

90.8%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWWDWL

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Legionovia LegionowoLWLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiLegionovia Legionowo
100.0Attack40.2
68.6Defence30.4
74.5Form26.5
76.1Power34.1
4.35xG0.62
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