GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/30/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Legia Warszawa II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (76.1 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiDDWWW

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Legia Warszawa IIWWDDW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiLegia Warszawa II
100.0Attack68.6
68.6Defence60.8
74.5Form63.7
76.1Power63.8
2.24xG1.16
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