GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/5/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (76.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

71.7%

Model confidence

71.7%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWWWLL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lechia T. MazowieckiLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiLechia T. Mazowiecki
100.0Attack100.0
68.6Defence33.3
74.5Form100.0
76.1Power80.3
2.85xG0.98
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