GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/6/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (76.1 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

80.6%

Model confidence

80.6%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWWWWL

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IILWWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiJagiellonia II
100.0Attack48.0
68.6Defence46.1
74.5Form44.1
76.1Power46.8
3.24xG0.77
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