GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/15/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Concordia Elbląg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (76.1 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

92.3%

Model confidence

92.3%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiDWLWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Concordia ElblągLWWLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiConcordia Elbląg
100.0Attack36.3
68.6Defence3.9
74.5Form29.4
76.1Power24.3
4.50xG0.55
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