GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/14/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Broń Radom are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (76.1 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

75.2%

Model confidence

75.2%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiLDDDW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Broń RadomLWDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiBroń Radom
100.0Attack38.2
68.6Defence57.8
74.5Form47.1
76.1Power49.1
2.52xG0.62
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