Pogoń Grod. Mazowieckivs
Bełchatów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/16/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Bełchatów are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (76.1 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
72.3%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20