Podlasie Biała Podlaskavs
Star Starachowice
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 10/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Podlasie Biała Podlaska · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0-0 Star Starachowice, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Podlasie Biała Podlaska 2-2 Star Starachowice
Original prediction
Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.8% | 40.8% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.8% | 30.1% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.4% | 29.1% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Projected Score
Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0–0 Star Starachowice
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Podlasie Biała Podlaska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40