GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/28/2026, 5:57:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Podlasie Biała Podlaska · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0-0 Sokół Kolb.

Original prediction

Podlasie Biała Podlaska

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0444.1%43.1%-1.0 pts
Draw3.2327.8%27.4%-0.5 pts
Away3.2128.1%29.5%1.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Podlasie Biała Podlaska

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Podlasie Biała Podlaska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Podlasie Biała PodlaskaLWWDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sokół Kolb.WDLLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Podlasie Biała PodlaskaSokół Kolb.
33.3Attack40.0
66.7Defence53.3
46.7Form33.3
50.8Power44.0
1.37xG1.04
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