GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Busko-Zdroj · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Podlasie Biała Podlaska are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Busko-Zdroj are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Busko-Zdroj hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Busko-Zdroj holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Busko-Zdroj

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

12.9%

Busko-Zdroj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Podlasie Biała PodlaskaDLLDD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Busko-ZdrojWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Podlasie Biała PodlaskaBusko-Zdroj
16.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
16.7Form66.7
36.5Power68.0
1.28xG1.56
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