Podkonicevs
Baník Kalinovo
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 3. liga - Center · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Podkonice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Podkonice 3-2 Baník Kalinovo
Original prediction
Podkonice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.1% | 63.3% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.79 | 18.8% | 20.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 7.39 | 12.2% | 16.7% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Podkonice
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Podkonice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20