GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Podillya Khmelnytskyi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1-2 Vilkhivtsi

Original prediction

Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 01:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7452.7%52.3%-0.4 pts
Draw3.7924.3%23.4%-0.8 pts
Away3.9823.1%24.3%1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

Podillya Khmelnytskyi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Podillya KhmelnytskyiWWWLD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
VilkhivtsiWWLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Podillya KhmelnytskyiVilkhivtsi
66.7Attack42.9
42.9Defence42.9
61.9Form38.1
60.4Power44.3
2.26xG1.27
View match centre →