Podhale Nowy Targvs
Stal Stalowa Wola
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Podhale Nowy Targ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Podhale Nowy Targ 5-0 Stal Stalowa Wola
Original prediction
Podhale Nowy Targ
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.5% | 41.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.2% | 26.2% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.3% | 32.3% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Podhale Nowy Targ
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Podhale Nowy Targ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00