Podhale Nowy Targvs
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandecja Nowy Sącz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Podhale Nowy Targ 2-1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Original prediction
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 29.4% | 32.6% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.2% | 27.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.4% | 40.0% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40