Podhale Nowy Targvs
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rekord Bielsko-Biała · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Podhale Nowy Targ 2-1 Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Original prediction
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.2% | 34.9% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.4% | 27.7% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.4% | 37.3% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Rekord Bielsko-Biała has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80