Podhale Nowy Targvs
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/1/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Podhale Nowy Targ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Podhale Nowy Targ 3-1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Original prediction
Podhale Nowy Targ
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 32.9% | 43.0% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.5% | 26.6% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.6% | 30.5% | -10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Podhale Nowy Targ
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Podhale Nowy Targ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00