Podhale Nowy Targvs
Lechia Zielona Góra
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/18/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Podhale Nowy Targ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Podhale Nowy Targ 0-0 Lechia Zielona Góra
Original prediction
Podhale Nowy Targ
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.7% | 48.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.7% | 19.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 24.5% | 31.7% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Podhale Nowy Targ
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Podhale Nowy Targ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00