Podbrezovávs
Spartak Trnava
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Super Liga · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Trnava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Podbrezová 1-3 Spartak Trnava
Original prediction
Spartak Trnava
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.9% | 22.7% | -19.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.8% | 19.6% | -6.1 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.3% | 57.6% | 25.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
25.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Trnava
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Spartak Trnava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80