GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 7/23/2023, 10:40:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Podbeskidzie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Podbeskidzie are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Wisla Plock are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Wisla Plock hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the I Liga, while Podbeskidzie holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Podbeskidzie

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Podbeskidzie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PodbeskidzieWLLLD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Wisla PlockWDDDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
PodbeskidzieWisla Plock
66.7Attack45.1
33.3Defence54.9
33.3Form50.0
48.3Power51.6
1.54xG1.37
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