Podbeskidzievs
Unia Skierniewice
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 9/20/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Podbeskidzie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Podbeskidzie 1-1 Unia Skierniewice
Original prediction
Podbeskidzie
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.2% | 49.4% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 24.5% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.6% | 26.1% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Podbeskidzie
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Podbeskidzie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80