Podbeskidzievs
Stal Rzeszów
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Podbeskidzie · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Podbeskidzie 2-1 Stal Rzeszów
Original prediction
Podbeskidzie
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.3% | 40.8% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.6% | 28.5% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 27.1% | 30.7% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Podbeskidzie
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Podbeskidzie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60