GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 3/19/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pocheon are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Gangneung City are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gangneung City hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 46.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PocheonWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Gangneung CityLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
PocheonGangneung City
37.8Attack37.8
45.6Defence54.4
28.9Form43.3
39.8Power46.9
1.08xG1.15
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