Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pocheon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pocheon 0-0 Chuncheon
Original prediction
Pocheon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 60.4% | 64.3% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.2% | 20.0% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 5.24 | 17.4% | 15.7% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Pocheon
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Pocheon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PocheonWWLWD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ChuncheonWWWLW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PocheonChuncheon
57.6Attack59.1
71.2Defence47.0
68.2Form43.9
66.8Power51.1
2.06xG0.88